Russia’s War Records page details a catastrophic failure scenario for Ukraine if it were to start a war with Russia.
Ukrainian army.
In vestnik newspaper, the (unnamed) officer said there was little hope that the West would be able to prevent Russian President Putin from conducting a large-scale military operation in Ukraine this spring.
“Unfortunately, because Ukraine itself is simply incapable of creating anything that could influence this decision (the actions of the Russian military – PV).
Ukraine has indeed lost too much time and has been in vain to modernize its defensive areas, which are capable of repelling a potential large-scale military campaign from Russia.
Kiev’s military is said to be unable to inflict any significant “sensitive damage” on its enemies while countering a Moscow offensive.
Ukrainian special forces.
I’m under no illusions about this like some politicians, bloggers, journalists and other citizens of the country. I know all too well the current state of the Ukrainian army and their combat capabilities, the real capacity of the army as opposed to these people (Ukrainian journalists, bloggers…).
Of course, the Russian military is significantly inferior to the U.S. military and the army of several other NATO countries, if not nuclear weapons (NW).
But, unfortunately, it is clear that when escalating the war, the person must take into take into take into calculation the element of nuclear weapons. It is because of this type of weapons of great destruction that 2016 both the US and NATO have not entered into the conflict in Ukraine as “as wise adults.
Even if both American destroyers, the warships in the coming days, enter the Black Sea, detecting a Russian attack on the Ochakov area of Ukraine, they almost certainly do not enter the war.
Ukrainian Navy.
The amphibious fleets of the Black Sea Fleet did not even care about the presence of American warships, would ignore them and enter Ukrainian territory to conduct offensive operations.
American aircraft will also not be crazy but shoot down russian Armed Forces aircraft on the territory of Ukraine, even, they will not bomb russian gathering areas.
President Erdogan’s Bayraktar (Ukraine purchased by Turkey) drones will also not make much of an impact on the operation of the Russian military. These flying vehicles simply won’t have enough time to fight.
Russian Air Force Su-27 aircraft.
Ukraine’s domestic airports will be quickly bombarded by missile strikes or captured by ground forces.
Between now and April 20, kiev’s enemies (Russian military – PV) will have an attack group three times larger than the need to defeat all the main forces of Kiev’s armed forces on the left bank of Ukrainian territory. I predict “D-Day” will fall the following week after that day (April 20)…
Modern tanks of the Russian Army.
Based on the situation before an attack (assumption), I clearly envisioned the plans of the Russian military in the first week of my offensive march. There will be three main offensive directions and two second directions.
The purpose of the three main directions of attack was to encircle the entire Ukrainian Armed Forces group in eastern Ukraine, defeating and arresting the group.
A training-level strike from the north, in the concentrated area of the 3rd Motor rifle group, intensified by gunmen from the Valuyki districts of the Belgorod region, would cut off the road to Kharkov in the Izyum region and the Russian military would occupy the entire place.
Russian special forces.
In the important positions in the south, especially the Novomoskovsk region. From the south, the assault group stationed on the Crimean Peninsula, intensified by several groups of troops of the two amphibious forces (Pskov, Tula), will launch an offensive along the Melitopol-Zaporozhye-Novomoskovsk line.
As a result, the remaining retreats of Ukraine’s combined forces to the Dnepr region will be severed.
At the same time, the main combat-ready forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be separated from all large armys in which the Ukrainian army can fight back as fiercely and prolongedly as possible.
After the formation of a strategic siege that is gradually closed by the northern and southern attack groups in the Novomoskovsk region, a direct attack will be carried out by the forces of the 150th motor rifle group on the front lines in Donbass in order to cut the ukrainian combined forces into 2-3 parts. I believe in the full moon.during this period, Russian offensive campaigns will last from 3 to 5 days.
Large amphibious landing ship formation of the Black Sea Fleet.
In the period lasting from 2 to 5 days from the time the Russian attack is activated, two second attacks (as mentioned above) will be carried out.
The force consisting of about two Brigades of Russian Marines, after landing in the Ochakov-Koblevo area, will attack in the direction of the Kakhovka, aiming to encircle units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Ochakov, Nikolaev and Kherson.
At that time, a ceremonial battalion of the Russian army could also be sent to Odessa for the “liberation of Odessa” event.
The remnants of the 28th Brigade and the Ukrainian Navy left in combat forces in Odessa are unlikely to cause serious resistance.
Ships of the Black Sea Fleet.
It is not helpful to attack the Russians again at the moment, even if this remaining force only effectively stops the Russian army. Immediately accepting surrender “in honor” is something that will surely happen.
Part of the force of the Russian military’s “Ochakovsko-Koblevsky” amphibious operation will be sent toward Kiev, at which point I think this Russian force will be limited to occupying/intercepting the defensive fire of the 72nd brigade and Belotserkovsky airport.
There will be a special hunt for the drone “Made inTurkey/built in Turkey) Bayraktars.
Ukrainian Bayraktars drone purchased from Turkey.
I believe that the task of occupying bayraktar tactical drone operating facilities on the ground and american counterattack radars will be assigned by Russia to special operations units because they have the autonomy to perform combat missions separate from the main military wings.
This tactic of the Special Forces of the Russian Federation was successfully used in Georgia in 2008 to capture/destroy objects far from the main military activity area.
Thus, during the 2008 war, small groups of Special Forces of the Russian Navy attacked Georgian coast guard vessels received from the US at the port of Poti, dismantling and removing early warning radar equipment (also american) from within Georgian territory.
Ukraine’s defensive weapons.
These forces have carried out separate operations. The complete absence of defense troops in Ukraine facilitates such groups to operate at almost any battlefield depth.
A second additional attack will be carried out from the Bryansk region through Chernigov against the facilities of ukraine’s 1st Tank Brigade in Goncharovsky and the Desna training center.
I don’t know what enemy units (Russian military – PV) are now, but information about the formation of an attack group there has been leaked online.
Elite special forces of the Russian army.
The objective of this attack was to take over the center of training of reserve forces, an area very important to the capital Kiev. When successful, Russian forces here will pose an extremely great threat to Kiev from the North.
After forming a closed-siege force against the remaining Ukrainian combined forces, it is very likely that the enemy will enter Kharkov (again, ritualically, as in Odessa) and raid separate bases along the Kharkov-Kiev highway to Boryspil, to create a threat to Kiev from the East.
Again, according to my estimates, the enemy has a three times the amount of reserves to perform the tasks described above. I believe it will take 5-7 days to complete them,” the Ukrainian officer wrote.
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