CureVac vaccine not very effective Crash of a Bearer of hope
Status: 06/17/2021 12:31 p.m.
CureVac’s vaccine proves far less effective than hoped, with the biotech company’s stock plummeting. What does this mean for the vaccination campaign and German taxpayers?
From Angela Göpfert, tagesschau.de
For the company CureVac and its owners, dramatic scenes have taken place in the past few hours. The price of the Tübingen-based company listed on the US technology exchange Nasdaq had already halved in after-hours trading on the US stock exchange on Wednesday. This morning, the CureVac share then rushed in German retail by up to 52.4 percent.
06/17/2021
Corona vaccine CVnCoV Bad Intermediate result for CureVac
CureVac’s CVnCoV vaccine showed only 47 percent effectiveness in the interim analysis.
Eight billion euros destroyed on the stock exchange
This destroyed around eight billion euros in market value within a few minutes. This melted down from over 15 to a good seven billion euros. The drastic course reaction shows how surprisingly, despite all previous doubts, such devastating study data as CureVac has now presented, came in the end – and how serious the consequences could be.
On Wednesday night, CureVac announced that its first-generation vaccine candidate was CVnCoV only an effectiveness of 47 percent against a Covid 19 disease of any severity. The company thus missed the intended statistical success criteria for approval.
Completely out of the vaccination campaign?
The study is to be continued, and the degree of effectiveness could change with higher case numbers. However, if the current trend continues, approval is unlikely. In this case, experts say CVnCoV would be a total flop for the company. For the German vaccination campaign, CureVac is therefore canceled until further notice. “According to these study results, it will be extremely difficult for CureVac to play a role at all in the current vaccination campaign”, told LBBW analyst Timo Kürschner tagesschau.de . According to the federal government, the setback for the Tübingen company does not upset the vaccinations in Germany. “This announcement has no effect on the speed of our vaccination campaign”said a spokesman for the federal health ministry.
Other manufacturers are still catching up
Industry observers believe that speed is just as important in vaccine development as it is in drug development. “Late bloomers like CureVac only have a chance if they have a better effect profile or fewer side effects”, explains pharmaceutical expert Kürschner.
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The Tübingen company CureVac is under increasing pressure due to the success of the competition.
“The more time that elapses, the more efficient the production of vaccines that have already been approved will be”says the pharmaceutical expert. “BioNTech & Co. are then more and more able to serve the required delivery quantities.” His conclusion: “We could get to a point where you actually no longer need the CureVac vaccine because the vaccination campaign is already so advanced.”
Hundreds of millions from the federal government
The severe setback for CureVac meanwhile has effects beyond the current vaccination campaign. It meets the German taxpayers – after all, the federal government has a stake of around 16 percent in the company and has supported vaccine development with a special program worth several hundred million euros. It is also a debacle for SAP co-founder Dietmar Hopp, who holds almost 50 percent of the shares.
Last but not least, the CureVac price disaster hits the countless private investors who have invested their money in the share. The paper of the company, which is legally based in the Netherlands, has been one of the most traded foreign stocks in the past few weeks on the Stuttgart Stock Exchange, where many private investors cavort.
Recently increased warning signs
Recently, there had been more and more indications that the CureVac vaccine could fail for the time being. Even when Health Minister Jens Spahn, according to media reports, deleted CureVac from the federal government’s planning for the current vaccination campaign, this could hardly affect the share.
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The high market capitalization compared to rival companies was also a warning sign: Before the current price crash, CureVac had a higher market value than Novavax. The US manufacturer had already reported a Phase III study on Monday, according to which its vaccine had a has a high effectiveness of 90 percent .
Often high risk in the industry
For CureVac and its owners this is now the “Worst case” of a biotech company. At the same time, the CureVac case also shows the general risks facing the industry. Companies in this industry usually have very few active ingredients in their pipeline. If one then fails – for whatever reason – it often has fatal consequences for the entire company.
background June 15, 2021
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The successes of biotech companies such as BioNTech attract investors: The industry has set a new financial record in Germany.
LBBW expert Kürschner also sees CureVac “a prime example of the risks involved in investing in biotech companies”. However, Kürschner does not fear negative consequences of the CureVac events for the German biotech industry. After all, there is a positive counterexample in the country. “I’m sure: BioNTech’s success story will outshine the rather negative course at CureVac.”
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