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Covid-19 – an agent to change the world order

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The Covid-19 pandemic has claimed the lives of millions, seriously damaged the world’s economy, threatened the operation of national politics, and disrupted the international system that controls events. world; Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger once said, “The coronavirus epidemic will change the world order forever”.

Co-operate

In one way or another, all the basic elements of the World Order have been reshaped. Covid-19 easily crosses international borders; Countries have worked together on strategies to stop the virus. The World Health Organization (WHO) has played an important role in linking countries in modern health. The WHO is an organization that is underperforming when the US, under President Trump, has withdrawn from it.

Bringing the US back to WHO was one of the first orders President Biden made. Some scholars see this thoughtful US cooperation on the international arena as a move to unite against the rise of China. Trump’s “America First” approach means American protectionism, and Biden is said to have taken advantage of the opportunity created by the Covid-19 pandemic to match with allies in Asia.

Security

Countries rarely lean heavily towards human security standards defined by the United Nations in the 1994 United Nations Development Program (UNDP) Human Development report. Food security, economics and Health is one of the important components of human security. The pandemic has facilitated demonstrating the important nature of international institutions and cooperation. Security, therefore, has been redefined; Priorities have been shifted to health security.

The balance of strength

One might say that, in times of pandemic, nations have come together to counter this common challenge. However, this claim has not been endorsed by tough political thinkers. Disruption in the global economy tends to destabilize international politics, so conflict is likely to increase in the post-Covid world. For example, the ongoing economic competition between the US and China is likely to continue to intensify as the two great powers begin to engage in the “New Cold War”.

Covid-19 will reshape the world order; Source: yalibnan.com

The US has blamed China for the spread of SARS-CoV-2, and Trump has repeatedly called SARS-CoV-2 “the Chinese virus”. To neutralize the cause, China is actively researching and developing the Covid-19 vaccine. The crisis has enabled China to prove itself to the world. In the long run, this can shake the balance of power. However, neither China nor the US is in a position to emerge as a “victorious” party in a way that could dramatically alter the balance of world power in favor of either nation.

Vaccine race

Mass production of the Covid-19 vaccine is no less than a space order race or an arms race. Vaccine production Covid-19 is not only a matter of saving lives, an economic and commercial problem, but also a matter of saving the face of some world leaders. Russia, the US, the UK, Germany, India and China are the top competitors in the vaccine race.

Russian President Putin is eager to introduce the vaccine to the world. It would be a sign of prestige in international society and help Russia impose the new world order it contests with. Likewise, China has its own ambitions to lead the world. The redistribution of power in the post-Covid world will depend on the performance of states in containment of the virus.

World financial order

The World Bank estimates a 5.2% decline in the global economy due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Both the US and China are eager to revive Covid-affected economies in one way over the other. Basically, the US is leading the world economy, accounting for a quarter of the world economy; 80% of world trade is in USD.

China aims to change this payment method in international trade. The country is creating competition with the US for global trade by building its own banks. The speed of economic recovery of these two economies will determine the post-Covid financial world order.

Dependence

Both the US and China need allies to compete in the “New Cold War”. The Covid-19 pandemic gave them the opportunity to become allies through medical assistance. The Covid-19 Global Access Facility (COVAX) plans to distribute a large portion of the vaccine to low- and middle-income countries.

The race against coronavirus is exciting due to a variety of causes; Source: reddit.com

In July 2020, China promised to lend Latin America and the Caribbean 1 billion USD. America is also interested in this practice because President Biden is a strong advocate of global institutionalism. COVAX could be a new kind of bailout. If so, the Third Period’s dependence on the First Period would probably increase.

Technology

As an agent with a latent function, Covid has helped drive innovation. Nations with better technology are likely to impose their World Order. During the Covid-19 crisis, there was an exponential growth in technology adoption. This implies that the military will have better strategic equipment than it did in the pre-Covid era. In modern international relations, military power is the core determinant of state power.

Health is an element of national strength

Before the Covid-19 pandemic, elements of state power were military or economic strength. Health has also been shown to be an indirect factor in national strength, the pandemic indicates. Countries with better health have a higher chance of control; Their economies have better prospects for recovery. As a result, “healthy” states have an advantage over others in implementing policies based on their strengths.

Climate Change

Due to the industrial sector restriction during the shutdown, the global economy collapsed. In the first phase, it was thought that the shutdown would be a blessing for climate change. However, to revive the economy, governments of both developed and developing countries have no choice but to reopen their industries. This means more carbon emissions.

Immigration and, as a result, globalization, is perceived as increasing in the post-Covid-19 world; Source: internationalbanker.com

Climate deals are likely to be postponed until the economy resumes operations. Falling oil prices due to the pandemic will make it easier for poorer countries to revive their industries. This is another stumbling block to the way a global economy is carbon-free. As such, the post-Covid world will have negative effects on the climate.

Threats to political rights

The pandemic proved to be unfortunate for the rising Right Wing. Populism, nationalism, and nationalism do not seem to work on right-wing leaders. The Covid-19 pandemic required performance and output rather than speeches and slogans. This is evident from the 2020 US presidential election, which has been widely criticized for being a populist leader. Handling pandemic is one of the main factors that cost him the price in the recent election. Likewise, in other parts of the world, people are asking for better governance, not letting power fall into the hands of the madman.

End of globalization?

Globalization has been severely affected by the pandemic. However, globalization slowed long before the pandemic hit, even before the election of the former US President that the anti-internationalist Trump won. Some scholars predict the end of globalization due to the pandemic; others believe that the pandemic shows how the world is interconnected. They see the potential for development of globalization and cooperation between countries, especially in relation to COVAX.

Jobs are an important part of globalization. Historical data shows that the crises tend to strengthen globalization. Globalization has also helped boost the declining economy. Unemployment has increased dramatically due to a ban in place to stop the spread of the virus. To fix the damage, people will tend to cross international borders. Immigration, as a result, globalization, is likely to increase in the post-Covid world.

The Covid-19 pandemic alone may not completely change the World Order, but the transitions brought about by the pandemic in the international system have the potential to determine the leader of the global political order. The post-Covid world order depends on how and at what speed the world comes out of a pandemic. If the US or China fails to resist vaccine nationalism – restricting the dosage of the Covid-19 vaccine for domestic use, it will be difficult to ally with other countries on their vision of the New World Order. ./.